Market Opportunity

TAM/SAM/SOM analysis for the African transition finance market.

TAM: Global Transition Finance

Segment2024 Value2030 ProjectionCAGR
Global sustainable debt issuance$1.5 trillion$3+ trillion~12%
Green/Transition loans globally$700 billion$1.5 trillion~13%
Climate finance flows$1.3 trillion$5+ trillion~25%
Total Addressable Market
USD 700 billion
Global green/transition loan market

SAM: African Transition Finance

Segment2024 Value2030 ProjectionCAGR
Africa clean energy investment$40 billion$200 billion~30%
Africa renewable energy investment$15 billion$60 billion~26%
DFI lending to Africa$8 billion$20 billion~16%
Transition-specific lending$5 billion$25 billion~30%
Serviceable Available Market
USD 25 billion
African transition loan market by 2030

SOM: Our Opportunity

If Verdex enables just 10% of the financing gap, the impact is significant:

$23B
Additional climate finance
50+ GW
Renewable capacity enabled
100M+
People with electricity
100M+
Tonnes CO2 avoided
💡Focus on Impact
Revenue follows impact. By helping more projects become bankable, Verdex creates value for the entire ecosystem.

Why Now?

Three forces are converging to create this opportunity:

LMA Framework Maturity

October 2025 Transition Loan Guide finally provides clear, shared criteria for credible transition finance.

DFI Climate Mandates

Growing pressure on IFC, AfDB, FMO, and others to deploy capital into African climate projects.

Infrastructure Gap

No existing tool bridges LMA frameworks to African developers. The demand exists — projects just need to speak the right language.

💡LMA Geographic Mandate
Africa is one-third of LMA's geographic coverage (Europe, Middle East, and Africa). Verdex operationalizes 12 years of LMA Africa engagement that has been underutilized.